featured matchups — week 0

Top games ranked by model confidence and market edge

UNCNorth Carolina
vsSat Aug 29 · 12 PM ET
TCUTCU
35%win probability65%
Model spreadTCU -12.3
Vegas lineTCU -7.5
Model total50.0
4.8 edge
SJSUSan José State
@Sat Aug 29 · 3 PM ET
USCUSC
7%win probability93%
Model spreadUSC -22.7
Vegas lineUSC -38.0
Model total57.1
aligned

All games — week 0

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UNCNorth CarolinavsTCUTCU
65%TCU -12.3
SJSUSan José State@USCUSC
93%USC -22.7
NCSUNC State@VirginiaUVA
61%UVA -4.3
JXSTJacksonville State@North Dakota StateNOR
57%NOR -12.2
SACSacramento State@Eastern MichiganEMU
58%EMU -7.0
HAWHawai'i@StanfordSTAN
58%STAN -2.5
NMSUNew Mexico State@Florida StateFSU
92%FSU -18.7
MEMMemphis@UNLVUNLV
56%UNLV -2.7

Model performance

2025 season

2026 season stats are still collecting

Win accuracy

79.8%

ATS record

563–371

Brier score

0.143

Margin error

12.5 pts

ATS accuracy60.3%
Breakeven52.4%